Milan – Inter: Preview
We have the lineups for the Milan vs Inter match on the 10th matchday of Serie A 2026/27.
"Milan" and "Inter" face each other in the Milan derby with equal ambition. But "Milan", with defensive problems, does not look as imposing in attack as "Inter", and also does not take care of its goalkeepers.
Key points
Milan
1. "Milan" suffered the first defeat of the season in Serie A
The first defeat came unexpectedly, after two consecutive wins against "Atalanta" (3:2) and "Udinese" (2:0). "Bologna" broke Ruben Amorim's team at the San Siro: 4:2. Paladino, with the bravery of his team, highlighted "Milan"'s defensive organization problems, so even the double of Alfaedo Cisse did not bring points. It cannot be said that this defeat before the derby is useful, capable of giving a boost: from first place "Milan" is seven points behind, and another mistake could push it further from the leaders.
2. Moréa, Rábio and Hilla return to training Positive news after the defeat to "Bologna". In the last match, Ruben Amorim could not count on Samuel Chukwueze, Alexis Salemaker, Matteo Gabbia, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Diego Moréa, Adrian Rábio and Mario Hilla. The last three players — especially important losses. But Ruben Amorim brought them into his possession a few days before the derby with "Inter". In a perfect scheme, they could be in the starting lineup. Luka Modric and Christian Pulischich came on as substitutes in the game against "Bologna", and with "Inter" they are predicted to start.
3. "Milan" has not lost in the derby in eight consecutive matches In April 2024, "Milan" lost to "Inter" 1:2 in front of their fans, allowing the rival to become Serie A champion 2023/24. Currently, that defeat is the last of the "red-black" against "Inter", whether in the Italian Super Cup or a friendly match. Five wins and three draws — an advantage that Ruben Amorim wants to extend. The Portuguese already had experience against "Inter" on the Australian tour. The meeting in Perth ended 1:1, despite the slight advantage of "Inter".
Inter
1. "Inter" leadership: does luck favor the one who has it?
After the draw with "Roma", Cristian Quiñó's team won with four consecutive victories. Last weekend, "Fiorentina" (2:1) was beaten with deservedness, but with great difficulty — in extra time. Strangely, one of the toughest matches of the season ended against "Venice" (2:0). The Serie A outsider played at "Inter" level: created, intimidated, but in the end lost by two own goals at minutes 80 and 82. Such bad luck is hard to explain for the losing side, but easy for "Inter": the leadership with its actions turns luck in its favor.
2. José Martínez, Chalhanoglu and Akandži will return to the starting lineup "Inter" also has injury problems, although they do not hit the squad as hard. John Stones and Benjamín Pavar could help with the rotation of the central defense, Luis Enrique with the right wing, Curtis Jones in midfield. Lautaro Martínez, captain and attack leader, will return to the formation only after the November break for national teams.
With "Venice" the minutes of play for José Martínez, Manuel Akandži, Hakhan Chalhanoglu, Nicolás Barélla were planned to be limited. His place in the starting lineup will be taken by Francesco Espósito, who did not stand out in the match against "Udinese". Fortunately, the situation is saved with Markus Turom: his 5+2 by goal+pass system multiplied by the maximum usefulness in attack.
3. "Inter" outperforms "Milan" in attack Regarding defensive play, "Milan" and "Inter" are practically the same. This is also reflected in the number of goals conceded: the "red-black" conceded 11, the "black-blue" ten. The same is seen visually: on both sides the game in their own field is far from perfect. Who and why can win?
The team of Cristian Quiñó is riskier in attack, but most of the time that risk pays off. 25 balls in Serie A, leadership in number of attacks (201 vs 113 for "Milan"), in shots on target (64 vs 43), in goals (25 vs 18), in expected goals (27.06 xG vs 19.37 xG for "Milan"). The diversity of attackers — also in favor of "Inter": in this season's league matches ten players stood out, in "Milan" seven.
Approximate formations 3-4-2-13-5-216
Menyan31
Pavlovich5de
Winter34
Hilla2
Estupinyan12
Rábio14
Modric22
Moréa70
Cisse11
Pulischich9
Ramush1
Martínez31
Bisec25
Akandži95
Bastoni17
DiuF23
Barélla20
Chalhanoglu7
Zelenik 32
Dimarco9
Turom94
Espósito
Betting trends
"Milan" does not lose to "Inter" in eight consecutive matches.
1X at 1.80.
Five of seven matches for "Milan" and eight of ten for "Inter" ended with a total winner. TB 2.5 at 1.64.
Forecast
Milan vs Inter 31.10.2026 23:45
"Milan" lost to "Bologna" before the derby, interrupting the modest winning streak in the league. The first league defeat for Ruben Amorim's team was unexpected, but unlikely to increase pressure on the "red-black". Pressure is already high, but the Portuguese, after the leaders return to the formation, will try to stop the elite rival and extend the unbeaten streak.
"Inter" achieved the fourth consecutive win in Serie A, maintaining the leadership position along with "Lazio". In the last match, Cristian Quiñó's team beat "Venice" — the main outsider of the league — largely by luck. But that luck that "Inter" deserves with its attacking play, related to defensive risks. Neither "Milan" nor "Inter" stand out in defense, and in general "black-blue" look much more secure in the central circle and can win three points in the derby.
Prediction: 1-2
