Inter vs Fiorentina: preview
We provide predictions for the encounter between Inter and Fiorentina in the eighth round of Serie A 2026/27. Fiorentina heads to the home of the very offensive Inter, which this season has not conceded fewer than three goals at Giuseppe Meazza.
Key moments
Inter
1. Inter secures victory without trouble
Inter had few home defeats in the Champions against Brugge (3:4). In Serie A, Inter had a weak first half against Bologna, conceding the first goal, but in the second half confirmed its status as favorite with 3:1. In the last Champions match against Shakhtar (1:0), the black and blues faced a defense that was not easy to break. The owners scored the winning goal, already in the minority after the dismissal of Alessandro Bastoni. Once again, the wildcard worked: defender Carlos Augusto, with four goals, among the team's top scorers.
2. Diouf, Bissek and Esposito will start, Provodell waits for his chance
Goalkeeper José Martínez has made several decisive mistakes this season, but he is under the public protection of Cristiano Quiro. Therefore, there cannot be an equivalent competition between the Spanish and Ivan Provodell. But the former Lazio goalkeeper, according to forecasts, should get playing time in the upcoming matches against Fiorentina and Venezia. With rotation after the Champions, central defender Yann Bissek, right back Andy Diouf adapted and striker Francesco Esposito will return to the starting XI, replacing Anz‑Yoan Boni, the best substitute.
3. Inter looks safe at Giuseppe Meazza
Inter has had difficulties in home Champions matches, but in Serie A it is practically clear. Even if victories are achieved with a strong display of will, as in the games against Napoli (3:2) and Udinese (5:3). Currently, the 16‑match unbeaten run of the black and blues at Giuseppe Meazza (13 wins, three draws), and the last defeat was in the derby with Milan (0:1) in November 2025. The confirmation of Inter’s confidence is productivity. Since the first match against the red and black, the team has scored 48 goals in front of its fans. This season, at home, Inter has not scored fewer than three per match.
Fiorentina
1. Fiorentina’s rise has stalled
The win over Venezia (4:2), the draw with Napoli (1:1) and the decisive win over Pisa (3:0) in the round of 16 of the Coppa Italia are on the same scale as the Florentines. On the other side: defeats against Como (1:3) and Genoa (1:2). The Lakeside even with the Champions looked fresh and took advantage of their opportunities, and the outsider Genoa simply wanted to win more. Fiorentina also wants to win, but cannot. It always lacks something, which leads to the real points (four) not matching the expected (9.00 xPTS).
2. Dodo approaches the base, competition on the left increases
One of Fiorentina’s main problems is the defensive line. Luca Ranzieri, in the game against Genoa, was injured, was not included in the match against Como, and his exit against Inter is in doubt. At the start, with a high probability, they will play Marin Pongrácich and Radu Draguš, who do not inspire confidence either as a pair or separately. The defensive winger Dodo has recovered and, after two substitutions, will surely start. Consequently, Alejandro Himenes moves to the left, where he will compete with Victor Valepenias. In the midfield defense with Como, Pedru Gonzalves came on for the first time at the base, but the Portuguese is still expected more. With Inter, there will surely be a reinforcement in midfield thanks to Marco Brechiani, Nicola Fajoli and Sheer Ndura.
3. Fiorentina is the worst team in the first halves
A surprising observation this season: Fiorentina engages weakly from the start of the game. That was the case with Fabio Grosso in matches against Roma (they only lost one goal, but played horribly) and Francesco (they played well, but lost twice). This continues with Paolo Vanoli, when the team lost six goals in the first halves, a third of the total goals they conceded (17). With this approach, the Florentines will have major problems at Giuseppe Meazza.
Approximate lineups
3-5-2-4-1-4-9
– 30 Ponchagich
– 25 Augusto
– 31 Bissek
– 32 Dimarco
– 7 Zelin
– 20 Calhanoglu
– 22 Mkhitarian
– 17 Diouf
– 9 Turram
– 94 Esposito
– 43 De Hea
– 2 Dodo
– 5 Pongrácich
– 3 Draguš
– 21 Valepenias
– 44 Fajoli
– 30 Mastantuno
– 27 Ndura
– 4 Brechiani
– 25 Njeie
– 32 Peligrino
Betting forecast
Inter missed out in six of the last eight official matches. Fiorentina scored in six consecutive matches. IT2B 0.5 for 1.62. Four of the six home matches for Inter and three of the five away for Fiorentina ended with four or more goals. TB 3.5 for 2.05.
Prediction
Inter vs Fiorentina 25.10.2026 14:30
Inter after the defeat against Brugge achieved two consecutive wins, but one was harder than the other. Cristiano Quiro’s team only breaks Bologna’s resistance in Serie A and Shakhtar’s in the Champions in the second halves. Without pause, Fiorentina follows. The encounter in front of their fans inspires confidence: at home the team rarely loses points and is very productive.
Fiorentina stopped progressing under Paolo Vanoli in results, as shown by two consecutive defeats against Genoa and Como. These matches confirm that defensive problems are still not solved (17 goals conceded), as well as the entry into the game in the first halves. According to the numbers, the Florentines are almost the worst team in the league in the first 45 minutes. With this set of problems, the trip to Giuseppe Meazza will end for the Florentines with another defeat.
Prediction: 3-1
