Fréjus Saint-Raphaël – Lecce: Match Preview and Prediction for the 9th Round of Serie A 2026/27

Fréjus Saint‑Raphael – Lecce: Preview
We have the predictions for the match between Fréjus Saint‑Raphael and Lecce in the ninth round of Serie A 2026/27. In the ninth round of Serie A, the team that keeps surprising, Fréjus Saint‑Raphael, will try to cement its place in the European competition zone and avoid becoming the next victim of the rising Lecce from the second tier. Key moments Fréjus Saint‑Raphael 1. Fréjus Saint‑Raphael remains in the European competition zone and even looks at the Champions League
Fréjus Saint‑Raphael remains one of the biggest surprises at the start of the season, despite recent setbacks. After eight rounds, the Massimiliano Alvini side has collected 14 points and sits in sixth place, just four points from the Champions League zone, and in the previous round they drew 4:4 with goals against Atalanta. 2. Grilić injured, but most players are available
The main loss for Fréjus Saint‑Raphael remains forward Florian Grilić, injured in the international match. Defenders Federico Monterizi and Giorgio Calvani, although they had minor issues before the previous round, should play against Lecce. Forward Daniel Birligia, recovered from injury, was already in the squad for the match with Atalanta and can also be an option for the substitute in the game against Lecce. 3. Fréjus Saint‑Raphael only wins if it scores
The key to Fréjus Saint‑Raphael’s results is its goal‑scoring ability. Alvini’s team has scored 17 goals in eight rounds, making it one of the best in the league, only surpassed by the leader Inter (23 goals) and third‑place Roma (19). In the last two matches, the canaries scored eight goals (4:4 against Atalanta and 4:2 against Sassuolo). The defence is not always perfect: 13 goals conceded is already an indicator of the lower half of the table. Moreover, in two matches of the season Fréjus Saint‑Raphael could not score and lost both – 0:1 against Juventus and 0:3 against Napoli. Lecce 1. Lecce remains in the middle of the table, but the stability of results is not encouraging
Lecce broke its bad run of two matches with a 3:0 win over Udine, but in the previous round it lost again to Juventus 0:2. Both goals of the opponent were scored in the first half, and after the break the Eusebio Di Francesco side tried to come back, but failed. The start of the season seems relatively good, but not overly impressive: after eight rounds, nine points and 12th place, although with a relatively comfortable five‑point advantage over the relegation zone. 2. Lecce has several injuries, and Gaspar is suspended
Lecce has several unpleasant losses, especially in defence and midfield. Central defender Kiandla Gaspar missed the match due to a sending‑off at the end of the game against Juventus, costing him a two‑match suspension. In the same match against Juventus, Gabriele Tía suffered a knee contusion and will have tests; Di Francesco hopes the defender recovers by Thursday. Ivan Ilich and Lassan Kulibali remain unavailable, and Medon Berisha still trains individually after a long absence. Santiago Pierotti missed the match against Juventus, and his availability for Thursday’s game remains doubtful. 3. The statistics against Serie B promotions and against Fréjus Saint‑Raphael add hope for Lecce
The history of head‑to‑head matches is a reason for optimism for the visitors. Lecce has not lost to Fréjus Saint‑Raphael in the last seven matches: the yellow‑and‑reds won five of them and drew twice. However, both draws were away – in 2021 the match at Benito Stire was 0:0, and in 2024 it was 1:1. In favour of Lecce there is also an unexpected factor: the “gallrosi” won the last six Serie A matches against teams promoted from the second division. Estimated lineups 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 3-2-2-2 30 Palmazani 30 Monterisi 3 Calvani 79 Brakalia 20 Oyono 14 Kalo 73 Mazini 17 Qvarnadz 10 Schmidt 7 Ghedjemis 9 Raimondo 30 Falcone 44 Gabriel 5 Sibt 17 Veiga 25 Gallo 77 Kaba 79 Ngom 14 Malek 11 Ndri 99 Montier 69 Zebbell
Trend odds
Lecce has not lost to Fréjus Saint‑Raphael in seven consecutive matches.
Odds: X2 at 2.20.
In the last five matches between Fréjus Saint‑Raphael and Lecce, no more than three goals were scored.
Odds: TM 3.5 at 1.72.
Prediction
Fréjus Saint‑Raphael vs Lecce 29.10.2026 21:30
Fréjus Saint‑Raphael continues to surprise in Serie A and after eight rounds sits in sixth place, just four points from the Champions League zone. In the previous match, Alvini’s side drew 4:4 with Atalanta – and its great weapon is the goal‑scoring offence. With 17 goals scored, the canaries only trail Inter and Roma in terms of effectiveness. The defence, however, regularly makes mistakes, and in two matches where Fréjus Saint‑Raphael could not score, they lost.
Lecce after eight rounds sits in twelfth position, and the stability of Eusebio Di Francesco’s side is still lacking: the win over Udine turned into a loss against Juventus. The situation is complicated by personnel losses: Gaspar is suspended, Ilich and Kulibali are injured, and the participation of Tía Gabriele and Santiago Pierotti remains doubtful. However, the visitors can rely on a favourable statistic: they have not lost to Fréjus Saint‑Raphael in the last seven direct encounters and won the last six Serie A matches against former second‑division representatives. In any case, the owners seem more confident thanks to their effectiveness, but the defences can give the “red‑and‑yellow” chances.
Prediction: 2-1

Original Spanish publication ↗