Casa Pia – Sporting Lisbon: preview
We have the predictions for the encounter between Casa Pia and Sporting Lisbon in the context of the tenth round of the Portuguese league for the 2026/27 season.
The commemorative tenth round of the Primeira Liga will begin in Ria de Mouro, where Casa Pia, which has climbed in the standings, will try to find weaknesses in Sporting, which is losing points.
Key points
Casa Pia
1. Casa Pia recovered from the bottom The period of despair for Casa Pia seems to have ended. The weakest team in the Portuguese league surprised everyone by winning three of their last four matches and climbing out of the bottom spot. The win over Alpendorada (1:0) from the country’s fourth tier is not much to brag about, but the victories over Estoril (2:1) and Estrela (2:0) were interesting: the “roosters”, for whom travel is a big concern, made good use of the moments and only wasted three of seven shots on their opponents’ goal.
2. Sequeira seized his opportunity in the frame, Livolán returned, Regu was in order Only one player is missing: the young goalkeeper Andrei Gomes. The goalkeeper question is quite acute at Casa Pia. At the start of the season, before the injury, Gomes held the position, then Ivan Mandich had his chance and in the last two matches Patrick Sequeira came out. In the match against Estrela, Sequeira with six saves became the best player of the match and will surely keep playing at least until Gomes returns. Also for the first time in the season, Jeremy Livolán appeared on the field, who is up to the task of boosting the team’s offensive power with the player Juan Regu in the center.
3. Casa Pia has not yet scored in matches against Sporting In the history of Portuguese football, the “roosters” and the “lions” have faced each other 11 times, each ending with a Casa Pia defeat. In those 11 occasions, Casa Pia lost at least two goals and, in the last five direct rivalries, they only managed to score one goal in total. At home, at least, they do not lose significantly (none of the six meetings were lost by more than two goals), and they also achieve a Sporting goal defence (in five of six occasions), which makes it less painful.
Sporting Lisbon
1. Sporting continues to make mistakes In the last seven matches, the “green‑whites” have only won three times. After a notable error with LASK in the Champions League (2:3), Sporting lost to Académico de Viseu in the Portuguese league, despite playing at home, with 28 shots and more than 70% possession. Earlier, Rui Borges played partially in the league cup with Marítimo (2:1), where they managed to advance, but the match was not a success for the lions. In such conditions, chasing Porto, who is already nine points ahead, will be almost impossible.
2. Santos, Debast and Salazar are not ready, Borges gave a chance to a new star No critical difficulties were detected in the visitors’ lineup. Nuno Santos is not ready to play, even in his best times he could not compete with Maxi Araújo on the left side of defence, Zeno Debast is unavailable and, in fact, would have relieved Gonçalo Inácio, Ibraim Baflo and Eduardo Quarejma, and Rodrigo Salazar has not played since mid‑October. The Uruguayan injury forced Borges to experiment with lineups that ultimately led him to Pedro Lima, who scored a brace in his first appearance for the club. Three days later, it is unlikely he will appear in the starting eleven, but he will surely be useful as a substitute.
3. Sporting has become even weaker defensively The “green‑whites” have lost at least one goal in seven of the last eight matches, but this is not the most concerning thing. Despite the much less active ball possession, Sporting’s opponents find opportunities to launch around 10 shots towards the Borges team’s goal on average per match. LASK managed 11, Marítimo 12, and Académico de Viseu lost up to four great opportunities.
Estimated lineups 4-2-3-1-4-2-3-1-1 Sequeira 75, Rosas 43, Souza 3, Kalu 18, Geraldesh 24, Perez 80, Ofori 77, Paúvels 70, Regu 29, Livolán 9, Araújo 1, Tiago Silva 22, Fresneda 55, Ba 25, Inácio 20, Araújo 77, Dumby 5, Almitira 10, Katamu 8, Simoynsh 19, Irankunda 97, Suárez
Trend forecasts In five of the last six direct meetings in Ria de Mouro, the teams exchanged goals. OZ – 2.07. In each of the 11 direct meetings, Sporting scored at least two goals. IT2B 2 by 1.71
Forecast Casa Pia vs Sporting Lisbon 31.10.2026 00:15 Casa Pia needs to perform at its best. Casa Pia achieved three victories in the last four matches, all away, where they traditionally find it more difficult, which allowed them to advance to the next cup round and improve in the Primeira Liga. We thank Patrick Sequeira and João Regu for the successes, and Jeremy Livolán’s return should help keep the pace.
Sporting remains tired. Borges’ team has lost in seven of the last eight matches and has won only three of seven in the last month and a half. There are no significant problems in the visitors’ lineup, the youth works actively, but the lions play as if they have no rest.
Casa Pia has good chances of at least drawing. The roosters still do not show spectacular football, but they take moments carefully and resist difficulties. The visitors, on the other hand, allow their opponents even more, and without Salazar their offensive potential weakens.
Forecast: 2-2
