Serie A

Atalanta – Parma: Preview and Prediction for the 10th Round Match of Serie A 2026/27

A detailed preview and prediction for the upcoming Serie A match between Atalanta and Parma, covering key points, squad changes, offensive statistics, and betting trends.

Atalanta vs Parma match preview
Atalanta vs Parma match preview

Atalanta – Parma: Preview

We count the predictions for the Atalanta vs Parma match in the 10th round of Serie A 2026/27.

"Atalanta", unbeaten in three Serie A matches, is preparing to face the outsider "Parma", whose goals against the opposition are hard to come by.

Key points

1. With Atalanta it’s fun, but victories are rare

The autumn part of the fixtures will surely leave Atalanta fans confused. In six Serie A matches, the Bergamo side have a complete set: one win, three draws and three defeats. Six of the 18 possible points keep the team in the lower part of the table.

The problems remain the same: finding rhythm under Mauricio Sarri and injuries in the defensive line. The only opponent that could be dealt with is "Venice" (3:1). The last two matches of the Bergamo side ended in a draw, but with a slightly different context: against "Frosinone" (4:4) the team was closer to a win, and in the match against "Fiorentina" (2:2) the initiative was on the home side.

2. Sarri fails to build the starting XI

Only the defender Giordio Scalvini and the winger Kamaldin Suleiman are returning to the squad, while Thomas Christensen and Gianluca Gaetano have retired due to injuries. Consequently, for the match against Parma, the coach will have to bring back Rely Obrich, who is forcing himself to gain experience in Serie A.

In the next encounter, Giordio Scalvini will start alongside Rely Obrich, Mario Pashalic will occupy the midfield centre with Ederson, and Jonathan Row will play on the left instead of Nicola Zalevsky. Gianluca Scammacca did not play against Fiorentina due to a hip injury, so the best option in attack is Nicola Krstovic.

3. "Atalanta" scores a lot

One of Atalanta’s main problems is the defence. But that is if compared with top‑class teams. Against Parma, with all due respect, Mauricio Sarri’s side must play offensive football. And with this, as practice shows, there is no problem.

In the last six matches, including the Conference League fixtures, the Bergamo side scored 14 goals, and the only exception is "Ajax" (0:2). Nine players were the authors of the goals, showing the variety of Atalanta’s offensive actions. Aren’t those good news before facing the Parmese?

1. "Parma" never lost under Alberto Gilardino

After the departure of Carlos Queiroz as Parma’s head coach, they never lost: three defeats and a draw. Matches against "Inter" (0:3) and "Torino" (0:3) seemed hopeless, with "Lazio" (1:2) the team played for a goal, and against "Udinese" (0:0) they already secured a draw and could aim for a win, with a penalty by Adrián Bernabe.

From a numbers point of view, there is progress; from a game point of view, not much. The Parmese still have problems in attack, being the worst team in the league both in real goals (six) and expected (7.99 xG).

2. Daffara occupies a place in the squad, Lonati competes with Ture

In the match against Udinese, Alberto Gilardino took a peculiar risk, putting Giovanni Daffara in goal from the start. Before that, Daffara had only experience in the Coppa Italia with "Cremonese". The experiment worked, "Parma" played without a goal. Perhaps Gilardino’s new vision will see a new name in Serie A.

Midfielder Hans Nikolussi‑Cavilla recovered from injury and was included on the bench for the match against Udinese. It is not ruled out that Hans will get playing time in Bergamo. In attack, Simón Lonati competes for the start, but Gilardino still prefers El‑Bilalu Ture. For Ture, the match in Bergamo is especially important: the forward belongs to Atalanta, but is constantly loaned out.

3. The attacking play for "Parma" is very difficult

To add points, "Parma" must keep its goalkeepers in the fortress, as in the match against Udinese. But objectively, the Parmese found it impossible even under the strictly defensive Carlos Queiroz, not to mention Alberto Gilardino.

At this moment, "Parma" has only five goals in nine matches, and that honestly reflects their offensive play. Away, the situation is even more sad: in four of five matches, no goal is scored. Even the Bergamo defence can become an obstacle for the Parmese.

Approximate lineups

4-2-3-1 3-5-2 9-2-9

Carneckki 47, Bernaskoni 40, Obrich 42, Scalvini 77, Zapppakosta 13, Ederson 8, Pashalic 11, Row 17, de Ketelare 10, Samardjich 90, Krstovic 30, Daffara 37, Troilo 34, Carlos Santos 15, del Prado 27, Brichghi 80, Fabiani 10, Bernabe 16, Keita 14, Valeri 9, Romero 19, Ture

Trending bets

Nine of the ten direct meetings between the teams ended with a total over. TB 2.5 at 1.67.

"Atalanta" beat "Parma" in four of five home matches with a margin of two or more goals. F1 (-1.5) at 2.30.

Prediction

Atalanta vs Parma 02.11.2026 23:45

"Atalanta" does not win in three consecutive Serie A matches and has stayed in the lower part of the table. Mauricio Sarri has little success due to key player injuries, especially in the defensive line. But the coach extracts the maximum, showing spectacular matches thanks to offensive effectiveness. In the last six matches in all competitions, "Atalanta" scored 14 goals, and in the last two, six.

"Parma" with the arrival of Alberto Gilardino still does not win, but formal progress has been marked: they lose less, and in the last match against Udinese they managed a draw (0:0). It will not be possible to always play without a goal, and in attack the Parmese are at the base. Objectively, "Parma" will have difficulty earning points in Bergamo, considering how little the team plays away. We consider the victory safe for Mauricio Sarri’s side.

Prediction: 2-0

Original Spanish publication ↗

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