Vitória de Gijón vs Marítimo: preview
We provide the forecasts for the Vitória de Gijón and Marítimo match within the context of the ninth round of the 2026/27 Portuguese league. The ninth round starts in Gijón, where the problematic hosts will try to move away from the relegation zone in the encounter with the gloomy Marítimo.
Key moments
Vitória de Gijón
1. Brief guide to moving from European competition hopeful to relegation candidate
The “Vitória” continues to descend in the Primeira Liga table season after season. In the last season, the “conquerors” finished in the middle of the table and occasionally showed good football, but in these eight matches they only beat a more insignificant “Nacional” (1:0) and with five points they were just outside the transition zone. In the last Portuguese league match, the “Vitória” could do nothing against “Benfica” (0:2), failing to fire even a single shot at the eagle’s goal, although the day before they broke the bad streak by beating “Recreativo de Lamelas” (1:0) in the Portuguese Cup. Will this relieve the players and fans? Exactly not.
2. Ndoye will not play, Silva and Strata are at level
In the host team, the next match will see the absence of Alun Ndoye. The Senegalese striker made his mark with a golden goal in the Portuguese League Cup final earlier this year and has since played very discretely. With the recent results, the “plus” in the “Vitória” is scarce, few stand out. In the cup, the “conquerors” played with an entirely reserve squad, which allows the leaders, whose best performance so far is on the right flank —the duo Gustavo Silva and Toni Strata— to be active and useful even in lost matches.
3. At home, the “Vitória” concedes less
Since the beginning of the year, the “Vitória” has played 14 home matches, of which only in the match against “Famalicão” (1:2) did they concede more than one ball, although they managed to beat “Braga” (2:1) and “Porto” (0:1). To compare, in 15 away matches in 2026, the Gijón team conceded at least twice 10 goals and in three of five matches already this Primeira Liga season.
Marítimo
1. “Marítimo” was inspired by the “Corto Pico”
The Madeira lions, who returned to the Primeira Liga, cannot win the Portuguese championship in six matches. It is difficult to point out the reasons for this decline, as in this stretch “Marítimo” only lost to the strongest “Benfica” (0:3), although they were seriously beaten by each opponent in xG and, in general, do not attack as often as the situation demands. In the last round of the Primeira Liga, they only lost minimally to “Porto” (1:2), but offered no resistance, and the encounter with “Alcochetense” (2:1) from the fourth division was also not easy.
2. The attack works, Correa, Salai and Vieitez sometimes triumph in their half of the field
The visitors, unlike the “Vitória”, played most of the main squad in the cup, so physical preparation may present some difficulties. Fortunately, no key player is injured or suspended, and the attacking line seems the strongest. Martin Techon, Simo Buzidi, Morris Bocki and Adrian Bucek are not extremely productive, but they come in at the right time and complement each other well. In the defensive line, sometimes shines Romenu Correa, Gabur Salai or Fran Vieitez, but there is not enough football blessing for everyone.
3. “Marítimo” would prefer not to play against the “Vitória”
In the last 10 years, the teams have faced each other 14 times, of which only one ended in favor of “Marítimo”. Since February 2018, the Madeira lions have not won in ten encounters against the “conquerors” and have scored only three goals. In Gijón, the statistics are even worse: six defeats in seven matches and only two goals scored. In the last five direct encounters, “Marítimo” lost four times with a total score of 6:2. And the advantages?
Approximate squads
4-2-3-1
8-4-7
2-8-3-4
8-13
28
21
23
8
44
7
20
11
9
30
2
44
22
23
6
18
11
8
10
17
Bucek
Trend forecast
“The Vitória” won six of the last seven matches against “Marítimo”. P1 at 1.65. In seven of the last nine personal encounters, the teams could not score more than two goals. TM 2.5 at 1.87.
Prediction
Vitória de Gijón vs Marítimo 23.10.2026 23:45
“The Vitória” failed to get excited with the tactical substitution at the start of the season and, after eight rounds, is just next to the relegation zone. The “conquerors” problems remain the same: the low-level home defense still somehow manages to stay, and the almost total absence of offensive power makes it difficult to overcome even the most complacent opponents. “Marítimo” returned to the Primeira Liga with two victories and then sank. The Madeira lions have not won in six rounds, although they do not look tragic: they only failed in one of the matches. The home ground factor for the “Vitória” is very important. In the “Afonse Enríquez” the hosts usually play much more stable than “Marítimo”, who, in turn, would not have crossed the “conquerors” at all —of the last 14 personal encounters, only one ended with the visitors’ victory, and in the last five direct matches lost four times, and in the last seven matches in Gijón lost six times, scoring only two goals. And also, the teams love to play 1:0 in favor of the “Vitória”.
Prediction: 1-0
