Sevilla – Alavés: preview
We have the predictions for the match between Sevilla and Alavés in the context of the twelfth round of the 2026/27 Spanish league season.
"Sevilla" occupies sixth place, ahead of "Athletic" in seventh by two points. "Alavés" is in eleventh, two points from the relegation zone.
Key moments
Sevilla
1. "Sevilla" is in order, but regularly loses the advantage on the scoreboard
"Sevilla" remains in the European competition zone, although in the first 11 matches it has already played against all representatives of the great Spanish trinity, suffering three defeats. In the other eight games the "red and white" have five wins, two draws and one loss. This happened in the match against "Getafe" (1:3), where the "red and white" led at minute 19 and then managed to consolidate the advantage, but instead, after the break, they conceded three goals. In total, in 11 matches, "Sevilla" lost ten points in games where they were in front. Additionally, in three of those four matches, they failed in stoppage time.
2. "Sevilla" lost Bueno and Peke
In the match against "Getafe", "Sevilla" lost two players immediately. Manuel Bueno received a red card and will miss the match against "Alavés" due to suspension, while Peke injured his tibial tendon and will be out for a month. The good news: Isaac Romero, who suffered a contusion in the match against "Getafe", is not injured and can play against "Alavés" – it will all depend on how he feels on match day. The main central defender, Kike Salas, is also fine, although he missed training earlier in the week due to muscular overload. Yusuf Fofana returned. But Miguel Sierra and Marcoa remain unavailable.
3. Sevilla's attack continues to fail
After the defeat to "Getafe", Luis Garcia Plaza declared: "The difference was in our execution of the moments". "Sevilla" really lacks a goal scorer. In the summer, the club let go of its best scorer from last season – Akor Adams, to "Venice" for 16 million euros, signing Lucas Stassina and Robbie Yura as replacements. So far, neither has shone, scoring one goal each in La Liga. The team's top scorer remains Isaac Romero, with three goals.
Alavés
1. "Alavés" has not won for two months
"Alavés" started so strong that their unbeaten streak at the beginning didn't seem like a problem – it looked as if the Basques were about to win. But two months have passed since their last victory, "Alavés" has been wobbling in seven consecutive matches (five defeats and two draws), earning two points – the worst result in La Liga in this stretch. Although, specifically because of the defeat in the last round against "Barcelona" (1:6), it is hard to blame the Basques. Kike Sanchez Flores did not expect to win at "Camp Nou" and therefore showed a non-starting squad to prepare for the upcoming matches, where success is more realistic. But the defeat in the game against "Sevilla" will be even more painful and could send "Alavés" to the relegation zone.
2. The starter will return, Diaz will play the wildcard
Mariano Diaz will face "Sevilla", in which he had one of the worst periods of his career: in the 2023/24 season he played only 319 minutes and recorded no decisive actions. In the current season, Diaz stood out at "Alavés", with 11 matches and 4+4 in goals+passes, and delivered seven decisive points after coming on as a substitute. He will probably reinforce "Alavés" in the second half. There will be no rotations this time, the starter will play. Except Fakundo Garses and Miguel Rodriguez, who are still recovering from injuries.
3. "Alavés" almost never loses to "Sevilla"
"Alavés" remains one of the most uncomfortable opponents for "Sevilla", wherever it is played: in the last eight encounters with the "red and white" the Basques have three wins, four draws and only one loss. At "Sevilla" home "Alavés" has not lost since 2021, with four consecutive matches (one win and three draws). And Kike Sanchez Flores has a special relationship with "Sevilla": he worked in the second half of the 2023/24 season, after which he was dismissed and, due to exhaustion, took a break of almost two years in his career.
Estimated formations
4-2-3-1 4-2-1-4-2 1-7-17
Betting forecasts
In five of the last six matches between "Sevilla" and "Alavés" both teams scored. Bet: both teams will score – Yes at 1.97.
In five of the last six matches with "Sevilla", "Alavés" did not lose. Bet: X2 at 1.88.
Prediction
Sevilla vs Alavés 07.11.2026 00:00
"Sevilla" is in the European competition zone, although in the first 11 matches it has already played against all representatives of the great Spanish trinity, suffering three defeats. In the other eight matches, the "red and white" have five wins, two draws and one loss. This happened in the last season's match with "Getafe" (1:3): "Sevilla" again lost the advantage, losing ten points in games where they were in front. The attack fails – there is no goal scorer: the team's top scorer, Isaac Romero, scored three goals.
Since the last victory of "Alavés" two months have passed, the Basques have been wobbling in seven consecutive matches (five defeats and two draws), earning two points – the worst result in La Liga in this stretch. But against "Sevilla" "Alavés" plays well: in the last eight encounters with the "red and white" the Basques have three wins, four draws and only one loss.
In addition, the special mindset of Kike Sanchez Flores against "Sevilla", who worked as their coach in the 2023/24 season, leading to his dismissal. Let's assume the teams are separated by a world.
Prediction: 1-1
