Atlético Madrid – Deportivo Alavés: preview
We count the predictions for the match between Atlético Madrid and Deportivo Alavés in the 10th matchday of the 2026/27 Spanish league season.
«Atlético» is in second place, five points behind «Barcelona». «Deportivo» occupies ninth place, four points above the relegation zone.
Key points
Atlético Madrid
1. «Atlético» extended the unbeaten streak
The six‑win streak of «Atlético» was interrupted by the 1:1 draw against «Stuttgart» in the Champions League (1:1). The result was acceptable: the «matraces» played in the disadvantage from minute 64, keeping the tie safely. Moreover, their unbeaten run continued: they now have seven matches, something they had not achieved since autumn 2025 (when «Atlético» also did not lose seven consecutive matches). Thanks to Betis’s drop in the previous round, «Atlético» moved up to second place, and a win over «Deportivo» will seriously improve their position, as the next day the “El Clásico” will be played and some rivals will lose points.
2. Cardoso added to the injury list
The «Atlético» squad is shrinking every day. Captain Coke missed two matches due to his mother’s death and then suffered a muscle injury. Cristian Romero was substituted during the match against «Espanyol» because of a hip injury. Two days before the encounter with «Deportivo», Johnny Cardoso suffered a muscle injury. Good news: Lee Kang‑in has recovered and is ready to start. Additionally, for the first time in six months, «Atlético» scored with Julián Álvarez. The Argentine will probably not start – in rotation, Diego Simeone will drop Jonathan David, who has been performing well: in five of the last seven matches he has had goal‑scoring performances.
3. At home «Atlético» is almost unstoppable
In the 2026/27 season, «Atlético» played six matches at the Metropolitano, winning five and drawing once against «Villarreal» (2:2). At that time, the team that had not yet finished pre‑season had not found its rhythm, and the «matraces» used a partial reserve squad. Their record against «Deportivo» is also impressive: since 2004, «Atlético» has not lost points at home against the «blancos y azules», with a streak of 12 victories, ten of which were shut‑outs.
Deportivo Alavés
1. «Deportivo» clings to points but does not win
«Deportivo» started strong, but after losing its leaders it slowed down and has not won in five consecutive matches (three draws, two defeats). Moreover, the «blancos y azules» were always close to victory: in four of those five matches they outperformed their opponents in xG, but a player who could make the difference was missing – like Pierre‑Emerick Aubameyang at the start. The Gabonese scored five goals in seven matches before getting injured. Besides him, no one has scored more than one goal. At «Atlético’s» home it is unlikely they will break the bad streak, but this «Deportivo» squad remains quite competitive even away: in four away matches this season they have only lost once.
2. Hines will play, Ede added to the bench
Aubameyang has already started training with the ball and will return to the field before the November international break, but for now he is unavailable. Mark Cadete is injured and will not play until December. During the match against «Levante», the main central defender also got injured: Bright Ede, who will also not play against «Atlético». José Hines belongs to «Atlético», but plays for «Deportivo» on loan. For the first time after his departure, the Uruguayan will play at the Metropolitano – there is no clause preventing it.
3. «Deportivo» has a freshness advantage
«Atlético» played four matches after the international break and the last game ended in the disadvantage. To recover before the encounter with «Deportivo» they only had four days, and personnel losses increase: rotation is complicated. On the other hand, «Deportivo» plays one match per week, and had eight days to prepare for the big fixture against «Atlético». The «blancos y azules» also add in the last minutes, when the opponent tires: in the last six matches they scored eight goals, seven of which came after minute 60.
Approximate formations
4-2-3-1-4-2-3-1-13
Oblak 22
Grimaldo 17
Ganco 18
Puebl 14
Loren 8
Barrios 23
Julman 10
Bena 7
Can In 20
Simeone 15
David 13
Román 23
Himo 20
Hines 4
Nubi 12
Quallata 16
Amatuchi 8
Villar 19
Cruz 21
Soriano Carreño 10
Ernandes 32
Nsongo
Trend betting
In five of the last six matches of «Atlético» and in four of the last six of «Deportivo» fewer than two goals were scored in the first half. Bet: first half 1.5 for 1.62.
In five of the last six matches of «Atlético» and «Deportivo» only one team scored. Bet: both teams to score – No for 1.73.
Forecast
Atlético Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés 24.10.2026 23:00
«Atlético» drew with «Stuttgart» (1:1), although from minute 64 they played in the disadvantage. The «matraces» extended the unbeaten run to seven matches (six wins and one draw), the best since autumn 2025. At home they won five of six matches this season. But injuries increase: Cardoso joins Coke and Romero. «Deportivo» has not won in five consecutive matches (three draws, two defeats). Moreover, the «blancos y azules» were always close to victory: in four of those five matches they outperformed their opponents in xG. But injuries hinder the team – three key players are missing: Aubameyang, Cadete and Ede. The «Deportivo» fight should prevail – they surpass «Atlético» in freshness, as they play one match per week. But points will not be affected. Forecast: 2-1
